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BTC breaks $80,000 For the first time since January 31. From the lows, that's already a +33% move. And the technicals suggest this isn't over. 🧵 pic.x.com/rMW9WmbAr0

Happy #StarWarsDay! May the 4th - and the markets - be with you. 🚀 pic.x.com/ZV8uGI0eBA

5/6 But it's not just Big Tech. → $SBUX: beat on revenue ($9.53B) and EPS, raised full-year guidance → $F (Ford): EPS $0.66, raised full-year EBIT guidance to $8.5 - 10.5B → $V (Visa): EPS $3.31, $20B buyback announced → $CAT: beat and raise → $ABBV: revenue +12.4% YoY to

6/6 What's next? ~120 more companies report this week, $AMD, $PLTR, $COIN, $PYPL, $PFE, $KKR all on deck. But risks haven't disappeared: → Inflation still elevated, Fed on hold → Iran ceasefire fragile, oil above $100 → Earnings bar is now very high Markets are euphoric. The

3/6 Earnings season is the engine. 82% of S&P 500 companies that have reported so far beat EPS estimates. EPS growth is running at +31% year-over-year, positively surprising analyst estimates by a stunning 23%. 9 out of 11 S&P 500 sectors are printing double-digit EPS growth.

4/6 The Magnificent Seven delivered - across the board. → $MSFT: $82.89B revenue, EPS $4.27 - both beats, cloud guidance maintained → $GOOG: $109.9B revenue, EPS $5.11 - beat on both, AI outlook positive → $META: $56.31B revenue, EPS $10.44 - beat, though capex guidance

2/6 The numbers first → $NDX: ~28,000, +22% since end of March → $SPX: 7,260, +14% → $DJIA: ~50,000, +10% This isn't a slow grind higher. It's a melt-up. And it has a very specific catalyst. 🔥 pic.x.com/R1q0yrjBg5

American Indices: What's Behind the ATH? Six weeks ago markets were pricing in a war, a recession and a Fed that wouldn't budge. Today - all-time highs across the board. Here's what changed. 🧵 pic.x.com/1IfTHJ7Tu6

what's a financial myth you used to believe?

first thing you check in the morning - phone, coffee, or charts? pic.x.com/wH09BrdP3I

weekend forecast: sunny with a chance of checking charts dress accordingly pic.x.com/3RpdR7kaeW

@duje_matic 😎

5/6 Why does Powell staying matter? Warsh takes Miran's seat - not Powell's. That means Trump now has 3 of 7 board seats, not 4. As ClearBridge's Josh Jamner put it: "The addition of Warsh will not swing the balance between doves and hawks." Powell remains a voting governor -

6/6 Markets reacted as they always do after Fed meetings - risk off. → $DXY ticking higher - dollar catching a mild bid → Equities lower - indices sold off as oil surged and uncertainty lingered → Crypto down - following the usual post-Fed pattern Markets are now pricing pic.x.com/GU6wLAyckO

3/6 Why is the Fed stuck? One word change says it all. For months, the Fed described inflation as "somewhat elevated." Today, that changed - the statement now reads simply: "Inflation is elevated." No "somewhat." No softening. The Fed is sending a signal: inflation is back,