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Meet TiMi, the AI trademate built into SimpleFX. Real-time market data, economic calendar, trade calculations, plus the option to connect your own AI model like ChatGPT, Claude or Gemini via API. Check it out: simplefx.com/timi-ai-trade-… https://t.co/7WpguACsjK

Utah just expanded its AI prescription pilot. The system can recommend refills for chronic meds, with a doctor signing off on each one. Would you trust AI with this part of healthcare? https://t.co/lnTSxRCTkK

TOKEN2049, see you tomorrow. 🇸🇬

TOKEN2049, see you tomorrow. 🇸🇬

$SPCX extended its move today. After the IPO rally to around $225 in June, the stock drifted lower and then spent September mostly between $145 and $160. Friday added about 7% following Starship and a series of launches, and over the weekend Musk's comments on "superintelligence" and the planned rename to SpaceXSI reached a market that was neither oversold nor stretched. The rebrand changes nothing in the financials, but it puts more weight on the AI and compute story that a large part of the valuation already leans on. Morgan Stanley's $300 target adds institutional coverage to that narrative, so today's move looks more like sentiment than a new fundamental. On the chart, the July high near $170 is a reference level, the area where price turned lower last time.

📅 5-9 Oct: PMI, Trade Balance, 10Y Auction + FOMC Minutes, Jobless Claims, Brazil CPI. Mark the Wednesday. https://t.co/T4mN8JcldU

Tag the person you send charts to at 2 AM. https://t.co/MAl0S17bAY

NFP (Sep) - Shocking reading September payrolls missed across the board. → NFP: 29K vs 89K expected → August revised down from 162K to 133K → Unemployment: 4.2%, up from 4.1% → Avg Hourly Earnings: +0.1% MoM vs +0.3% expected All three components came in soft, and the revision took almost 30K off the prior month. 🧵

If you could only hold one for the next 5 years:

Brent has slipped back below $100 after Thursday's spike and now trades around $99 on the 4H chart, down about 1% in the current candle, with more than half of the move toward $103 already retraced as price turned away from the $102-103 zone that also capped the market on Sep 24. Thursday's rally was driven by Chinese refiners suspending most October fuel exports outside Hong Kong and Macau, with PetroChina cancelling some gasoline and jet fuel cargoes, while the US is sending a carrier group and Marines to the Middle East, about 9-10k troops in total arriving by the end of November, and reports say Donald Trump is weighing new strikes on Iran after the midterm elections. Russia's ban on diesel exports also remains in place until Oct 31. The move higher stalled because crude flows out of the Gulf have largely recovered, with Kpler putting exports from the region at about 20M barrels per day vs about 17M before the war and Saudi Arabia having resumed loadings at Yanbu, so the tightness now sits mainly in refined products, which are moving through the Strait of Hormuz at under 1M barrels per day vs about 4M before the war. On the chart, the nearest resistance sits at $102-103 and support around $94-95, where the lows from Sep 22-23 formed. In the background, the US 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.3% on Thursday, its highest since 2002, with energy-driven inflation cited as one of the main drivers, and US payrolls are due at 12:30 UTC today.

From 17% to 70% in weeks. That's how fast Fed hike odds repriced on FedWatch. This week's PCE and NFP decide if it sticks. https://t.co/VEJdaSflDR

This isn't over yet 👀 The next round of applications for the ambassador program begins on Wednesday. Why would you like to become an ambassador for our brand? Let us know in the comments.

Simple question, October edition: Will "Uptober" deliver this year?

NFP (Sep) Tomorrow, Friday, Oct 2, at 12:30 UTC, September payrolls land, with expectations: → NFP: 98K (prev: 162K) → Unemployment: 4.1% (unchanged) → Avg Hourly Earnings: +0.3% MoM (unchanged) Yesterday's PCE and where the bond market sits going in - below. 🧵 https://t.co/LDPODJQxtw

The US pays an average of 4.1% on its debt. New 10-year borrowing now costs about 5.3%, and the 30-year just hit 5.6%, its highest level since 2002. Think of government debt as thousands of fixed-rate mortgages. Each bond keeps its rate until it matures, then gets replaced at today's rate. A big chunk was issued in 2020 and 2021 at rates near 1%, so every maturity pushes the average cost of the debt higher. The bill is already large. Interest on the debt is about $1.0 trillion in FY2026, equal to 18.6% of federal revenue, a record. CBO projects $2.1 trillion by 2036. With roughly $32 trillion of debt held by the public, a 1 percentage point rise in the average interest rate would add about $320 billion a year, assuming the debt stock stays unchanged. The full cost builds up gradually, as maturing debt is replaced with new debt at higher rates. Higher interest costs mean the US spends more servicing its debt and may need to borrow more. That means selling more bonds. If demand does not keep up, bond prices fall and yields rise: the same fixed payment gives buyers a higher return when they pay less for the bond. Higher yields then make new government borrowing more expensive.