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6/8 Equities are caught between two worlds. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq reclaimed key support levels last week. But this is a headline-driven, binary market now. There is no middle ground tonight.
5/8 Energy markets are pricing in fear - not hope. 🛢️ Brent above $110 🛢️ WTI pushing toward $115 ⚡ Hormuz handles ~20% of global oil - still 95% blocked 📉 IEA: conflict has cut global supply by ~8 million barrels per day Even if a deal drops tonight, supply chains don't
3/8 What happens if Trump pulls the trigger? → Strikes on Iranian power plants, bridges & energy infrastructure → Iran has warned of a "more severe and expansive" response → Iran’s deputy minister of youth and sports called on young people to form a “human chain” around the
4/8 What happens if he extends again? → Markets might rally on relief → Oil pulls back from $110+ Brent / $115 WTI → But credibility of future ultimatums collapses → Iran gains more time to dig in Trump has extended this deadline multiple times already. Markets know the
2/8 Here's where we stand right now. Iran sent a 10-point response via Pakistan - demanding a permanent end to the war, a safe passage protocol for Hormuz, reconstruction commitments, and sanctions relief. Trump's verdict? "It's a significant step. It's not good enough." Deadline
Trump's ultimatum. Deadline at 8:00 PM Eastern Time. ⏰ T-minus hours. Trump's ultimatum expires tonight at 8:00 PM Eastern. Open the Strait of Hormuz - or face hell. The world is watching. 🧵 pic.x.com/9Nq6tnpJ5U
Your trading start can be stronger. 👀 Deposit funds and unlock the First Deposit Bonus Booster. More capital means more opportunities in the market. Up to $10 000 bonus. pic.x.com/xvLREhatRf
NFP (Mar) Reading: What a strong market! The NFP results just came in! Nonfarm payrolls 178k vs. 65k The Unemployment Rate 4.3% vs 4.4% Average Hourly Earnings 0.2% vs 0.3% As you can see, this time we're seeing a significant miss in the opposite direction. February saw a loss pic.x.com/8UWQD4ycNs
5/6 The NASDAQ is falling below 24,000 - again. It can't hold above that level for more than a few hours at a time. Companies are pricing in a slowdown - at least. pic.x.com/oHsPZ2L0no
6/6 Well, hold on tight and hedge your positions. It's going to be a bumpy ride!
4/6 Brent crude remains stubbornly elevated, and following Donald Trump's latest address, it is now pushing toward $110 per barrel. The likelihood of a prolonged war is taking its toll - on the H4 chart, OBV is breaking out ahead of price, giving a solid bullish signal. High pic.x.com/zQcLh1AVW8
2/6 Currently, the labor market is expected to add 65,000 jobs, unemployment is to remain at 4.4%, and Average Hourly Earnings are projected to decline from 0.4% to 0.3%. Will these expectations be met?
3/6 In short, times may be tough. The economy is weighed down by war-driven energy price surges. On top of that, the outlook for higher interest rates remains stubbornly persistent.
NFP Tomorrow We know Donald Trump delivers us content day after day, but it wouldn't hurt to also learn about the situation in more mundane matters than world domination. The US labor market report is due tomorrow at 1:30 pm UTC. What to expect? pic.x.com/Nqjljivspd
1/6 Let's start with the fact that the latest reading was truly shocking. The job market has begun...losing jobs instead of creating them! A staggering 92,000 jobs were lost, despite expectations of a 58,000-person increase.
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