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CPI came in hot, and then PPI landed far above what the market was expecting, which is the kind of data that makes everyone turn to the Fed for answers. The Fed said very little, and when its next move was left unsignalled at the IMF event, the market clearly wanted more. Traders are now looking for confirmation around an October rate hike, with pricing already leaning toward a much higher chance of one in December. BC Richfield walks through the strange part of the story, because after all that hot inflation, yields actually fell, as investors went looking for an escape in defensive assets.

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The yen traded narrowly as renewed domestic bond demand lifted sentiment. USDJPY rebounded above both EMAs after breaking below them. The price remains around flattening EMAs, signaling consolidation. Holding above 157.80 may keep the price within the 157.80-158.50 range. https://t.co/s1vbnMOih7

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The euro remained steady as French fiscal concerns offset hawkish signals from ECB members. EURUSD briefly retested EMA120 before bouncing above it. The price continues to fluctuate around flattening EMAs. Staying below 1.1250 may see the price consolidate within 1.1210-1.1250. https://t.co/Gx8PHfxotl

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The pound strengthened as higher Inflation boosted BoE rate hike odds. GBPUSD retested EMA24 before bouncing toward 1.3400. The price hovers below 1.3400 with subdued momentum. Closing above 1.3400 may advance the price toward the resistance at 1.3420. https://t.co/KRKD3Yq8mX

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Oil prices steadied despite Gulf oil field drone incident revived supply fears. USOIL rebounded after dipping below EMA120 and 96.60, forming a Symmetrical Triangle amid flattening EMAs. Holding above EMA120 and 96.60 may keep USOIL ranging within 96.60–99.30. https://t.co/upStnOTdak